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Abstract:Many Asian stocks managed gains Wednesday with trade optimism still trumping gloomy local economic data out of Australia and China.
Asian Stocks Talking Points:
Most regional bourses were in the gree
Hopes are still high for a US/China trade deal as China‘s People’s Congress meet
Australian growth underwhelmed, as did Chinas service sector performance
Find out what retail foreign exchange investors make of your favorite currencys chances right now at the DailyFX Sentiment Page
Asia Pacific stock markets put in a mixed performance on Wednesday with investors attuned to trade developments as China‘s annual National People’s Congress began in Beijing.
US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said on Monday that he thought Washington and Beijing were ‘on the cusp’ of reaching an accommodation, the latest tantalizing hint that a tangible step forward, at least, will be forthcoming.
Economic news released through the session was less encouraging. Australia‘s Gross Domestic Product came in below expectations for the final quarter of the old year. Its 2.3% annualized rate was the weakest since early 2017 and well below the 2.6% rise expected. Meanwhile China’s service sector was revealed by a private survey to have expanded at its slowest rate for four months in February.
Still, the Shanghai Composite was up by 1% in the middle of its afternoon session. The Hang Seng was 0.4% higher but the Nikkei 225 shed 0.7%. Australias ASX 200 added 0.6%.
In the foreign exchange space, the Australian Dollar sunk to two-month lows. This was thanks in part to that weak growth data but also because Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Philip Lowe struck a dovish note in a Sydney speech. Mr Lowe said it was hard to see Australian interest rates rising this year (the markets continue to price-in a cut), and that growth in the second half was likely to be below trend.
Many banks seem to be strengthening their rate-cut forecasts, or revising them to bring the timing forward, and this also weighed on the currency.
Crude oil prices stayed down, despite some usually-supportive trade optimism, as news of rising US supply and inventories weighed. Gold prices were steady just above five-week lows through the Asian session.
Still to come on Wednesday‘s data slate is the Bank of Canada’s monetary policy decision (no interest-rate change expected), Germany‘s Purchasing Managers Index for the construction sector and the economic outlook from the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development. From the US will come mortgage-application figures, December’s trade balance and more news of crude oil inventory levels.
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Equities were mostly lower, if not by very much. Australian interest rates remained at record lows. That was as expected, but retail sales disappointed as the current account surged ahead
The Australian Dollar got a small burst of life on news that Chinas private manufacturing sector did better than its large, state-run partner last month.
Asia Pacific equity markets failed to capitalize on Wednesdays Wall Street gains as US yield curve inversion and Brexit worries continued to dominate.
Equity investors waited nervously for the Jackson Hole symposium to start. While they did, Japanese manufacturing disappointed once again